It’s a Bird…It’s a Plane…It’s Another Person Making Oscar Predictions!

I used to be obsessed with movies – I arguably still am though it’s impossible to get to the multiplexes when you have two small kids. That said, each year when the Oscar nominations are announced, I’m automatically transported back to a time when I lived my life vicariously through the movies. I remember in high school, I’d videotape (aging myself here) the nominations, head off to school, and wonder all day who got nominated. I’d then come home from school and watch the announcements. Remember, this was a time before the Internet so there were no instant PDFs on websites with a full list of nods. I remember showing up late to college courses just so I could watch the announcements – traditionally held on Tuesday mornings – live. One time I even watched the nominations at the campus center during breakfast live on my, wait for it, Sony Watchman. Anyway, “Oscar Tuesday” was a big deal, and Joel Siegel of Good Morning America always was part of the big day.

Today, it’s easier to catch the nominees. They’re streamed live and all of the nominees are posted within minutes online. It sure beats having to wait until the next day to read them in the newspaper. Anyway, with my nerdism fully revealed, as I’ve done since 1988, here are my predictions of the Oscar predictions. This year is probably the wildest year in decades in that there’s no clear frontrunner. While my gut tells me Spotlight and Mad Max: Fury Road will lead the pack with seven or eight nominees altogether, I’m not sold either will win Best Picture yet. But, let’s not get too ahead of ourselves. Let another guy tell you who’s getting nominated – knowing full well that this year will provide a ton of shocking snubs and huge surprises. Case in point: I’m not even sure Oscar favorite Sylvester Stallone will be nominated. He failed to earn a Screen Actor’s Guild nod, and let’s face it now that Oscar voting wraps up before the Golden Globe winners are announced, the latter show is pretty much irrelevant in swaying voters. Remember, Scent of a Woman would’ve likely never picked up a Best Picture Oscar nod had it not won Best Picture at the Globes in 1993. Nerd alert!

Best Picture – I’m predicting we’ll get the full ten nominees this year. In the event, it’s less, I’ve put the films I think will be nominated in order.

SPOTLIGHT
MAD MAX: FURY ROAD
CAROL
THE MARTIAN
THE REVENANT
THE BIG SHORT
STRAIGHT OUTTA COMPTON
BRIDGE OF SPIES
ROOM
BROOKLYN

DARK HORSE:
STEVE JOBS

JAW-DROP OMISSION POTENTIAL
BRIDGE OF SPIES

JAW-DROP ADDITION POTENTIAL
STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS

MY PERSONAL PICK WHICH HAS LITTLE CHANCE
INSIDE OUT

BEST ACTOR (AKA the easiest category to call)
MATT DAMON – THE MARTIAN
BRYAN CRANSTON – TRUMBO
LEONARDO DICAPRIO – THE REVENANT
MICHAEL FASSBENDER – STEVE JOBS
EDDIE REDMAYNE – THE DANISH GIRL

DARK HORSES:
WILL SMITH – CONCUSSION (I truly believe the Academy will feel the pressure to nominate an actor of color this year after last year’s failure to do so.)
MICHAEL CAINE – YOUTH

JAW-DROP OMISSION POTENTIAL
MATT DAMON – THE MARTIAN

JAW-DROP ADDITION POTENTIAL
ABRAHAM ATTAH – BEASTS OF NO NATION
JOHNNY DEPP – BLACK MASS (Love Depp but this isn’t worthy.)

MY PERSONAL PICS WHO HAVE LITTLE CHANCE
MICHAEL B. JORDAN – CREED
or
SAMUEL L. JACKSON – THE HATEFUL EIGHT (His best performance in years)

BEST ACTRESS
CATE BLANCHETT – CAROL
BRIE LARSON – ROOM
JENNIFER LAWRENCE – JOY
CHARLOTTE RAMPLING – 45 YEARS
SAOIRSE RONAN – BROOKLYN

DARK HORSE
CHARLIZE THERON – MAD MAX: FURY ROAD

JAW-DROP OMISSION POTENTIAL
JENNIFER LAWRENCE – JOY

JAW-DROP ADDITION POTENTIAL
ROONEY MARA (CAROL) or ALICIA VIKANDER (THE DANISH GIRL) vs. presumed supporting actress nods.

MY PERSONAL PICK WHICH HAS LITTLE CHANCE
EMILY BLUNT – SICARIO

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
PAUL DANO – LOVE & MERCY
IDRIS ELBA – BEASTS OF NO NATION
MARK RYLANCE – BRIDGE OF SPIES
SYLVESTER STALLONE – CREED
JACOB TREMBLAY – ROOM

DARK HORSE
MICHAEL KEATON – SPOTLIGHT (I think he’d rep the film vs. Ruffalo)
or
MICHAEL SHANNON – 99 HOMES

JAW-DROP OMISSION POTENTIAL
SYLVESTER STALLONE – CREED (I doubt it but, again, he failed to get a SAG nod.)

JAW-DROP ADDITION POTENTIAL
TOM HARDY – THE REVENANT

MY PERSONAL PICK WHO HAS LITTLE CHANCE
BENECIO DEL TORO – SICARIO

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
JENNIFER JASON LEIGH – THE HATEFUL EIGHT
ROONEY MARA – CAROL
RACHEL MCADAMS – SPOTLIGHT
ALICIA VIKANDER – THE DANISH GIRL
HELEN MIRREN – TRUMBO

DARK HORSE:
JANE FONDA- YOUTH
or
KATE WINSLET – STEVE JOBS (I know – she probably will but her performance underwhelmed me and again, it all depends where Vikander and Mara land.)

JAW-DROP OMISSION POTENTIAL
JENNIFER JASON LEIGH – THE HATEFUL EIGHT

JAW-DROP ADDITION POTENTIAL
JULIE CHRISTIE – BROOKLYN

MY PERSONAL PICK WHO HAS LITTLE CHANCE
ALICIA VIKANDER – EX MACHINA

BEST DIRECTOR
ALEJANDRO GONZALEZ INARRITU – THE REVENENT
TOM MCCARTHY – SPOTLIGHT
ADAM MCKAY – THE BIG SHORT
RIDLEY SCOTT – THE MARTIAN
GEORGE MILLER – MAD MAX: FURY ROAD

DARK HORSE:
TODD HAYNES – CAROL (An early favorite may get the boot because of McKay.)
or
LENNY ABRAMSON – ROOM

JAW-DROP OMISSION POTENTIAL
TOM MCCARTHY – SPOTLIGHT
or
ADAM MCKAY – THE BIG SHORT (either will get nods in screenplay)

JAW-DROP ADDITION POTENTIAL
TOM HOOPER – THE DANISH GIRL

MY PERSONAL PICKS WHICH HAVE LITTLE CHANCE
J.J. ABRAMS – STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS
or
DENIS VILLENEUVE – SICARIO

About A-Sides with Jon Chattman:
Jon Chattman’s music/entertainment series typically features celebrities and artists (established or not) from all genres performing a track, and discussing what it means to them. This informal series focuses on the artist making art in a low-threatening, extremely informal (sometime humorous) way. No bells, no whistles — just the music performed in a random, low-key setting followed by an unrehearsed chat. In an industry where everything often gets overblown and over manufactured, Jon strives for a refreshing change. Artists featured on the series include Imagine Dragons, Melissa Etheridge, Air Supply, Joe Perry, Alice Cooper, fun, Bleachers, Charli XCX, Marina and the Diamonds, and Bastille.

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